Lumen’s portfolio construction and asset allocation process starts with helping investors to clearly define their investment objectives, which can be mapped to a Predefined (Model) Universe, built up by factors that align with the investment strategies and investor’s goal.
Lumen takes a fresh look at the 60/40 asset allocation debate and revisits the meaning of the Modern Portfolio Theory.
As technology continues to evolve, customization in portfolio construction, i.e., selecting the set of investment alternatives first and then optimizing, is rapidly becoming the new norm in the wealth management industry.
Lumen discusses factor investing, an investment approach where stocks are selected based on quantifiable factors that drive the differences in risk or rate of return of stocks. The article describes the history of factor investing and provides insights into the use of various factors in portfolio construction and how Lumen quantifies these factors, especially the unique Economic Value Added (EVA) concept as metrics of value. We also shared some observations of the factors selected.
Global Sectors Outlook as of June 2022 using the Residual Income Model and Lumen calculated Cost of Equity
Selected Regional Markets Outlook as of June 2022 – Value vs. Risk
While the current level of inflation is well above the long-term averages, there are good reasons to expect that inflation will remain benign, in Lumen’s view.
The less accommodative monetary policy points to higher real rates and possibly a healthy market correction typical in a late-cycle policy tightening.
The money management industry is undergoing a seismic shift. The old active money management model picking stocks, bonds, or star managers no longer provides a reliable source of return. Active and detailed global asset allocation that is highly customized is becoming the most effective investment style for outstanding results.
Wealth managers, family offices, and other institutional investors will be empowered by digital investment solutions that leverage essential data, technology, and financial innovations to perform crucial investment functions at a fraction of the cost of an entire investment team. Moreover, as wealth changes hands, investment advisors that incorporate digital tools can better capture this new generation of wealthy clients.
“The US Dollar is our currency, but it’s your problem” – John Connally, Secretary of the Treasury of President R. Nixon, G10 Meeting, Rome, Italy 1971
To answer the question whether the U.S. Dollar is at risk of a crash, we need to distinguish between the Role of the Dollar and the Value of the Dollar – two very different analyses.
