Category: <span>Lumen Global Value Compass</span>

Lumen Model Universes: Strategies Aligned with Unique Investment Goals

Lumen’s portfolio construction and asset allocation process starts with helping investors to clearly define their investment objectives, which can be mapped to a Predefined (Model) Universe, built up by factors that align with the investment strategies and investor’s goal.

What’s Next in Factor-Based Investing – Lumen’s Methodology

Lumen discusses factor investing, an investment approach where stocks are selected based on quantifiable factors that drive the differences in risk or rate of return of stocks. The article describes the history of factor investing and provides insights into the use of various factors in portfolio construction and how Lumen quantifies these factors, especially the unique Economic Value Added (EVA) concept as metrics of value. We also shared some observations of the factors selected.

Ranking of World Sectors Using the Residual Income Model, based on Lumen’s calculated Cost of Equity – June 2022

Global Sectors Outlook as of June 2022 using the Residual Income Model and Lumen calculated Cost of Equity

Ranking of Regional Markets Applying the Residual Income Model and the Lumen-calculated Market Implied Expected Returns/Cost of Equity (June 2022)

Selected Regional Markets Outlook as of June 2022 – Value vs. Risk

Regional Markets and US Sectors Outlook Q1 2022 – Value vs. Risk

Please check out the Intrinsic Value column for the ranking of value and the Intrinsic Risk column for the ranking of risk – based on the Residual Income Model.

Wealth Management: Innovations and Trends

The money management industry is undergoing a seismic shift. The old active money management model picking stocks, bonds, or star managers no longer provides a reliable source of return. Active and detailed global asset allocation that is highly customized is becoming the most effective investment style for outstanding results.

Wealth managers, family offices, and other institutional investors will be empowered by digital investment solutions that leverage essential data, technology, and financial innovations to perform crucial investment functions at a fraction of the cost of an entire investment team. Moreover, as wealth changes hands, investment advisors that incorporate digital tools can better capture this new generation of wealthy clients.

Regional, Emerging, and Major Markets Investment Outlook – Value vs. Risk

Using the Lumen Global Value Compass calculated market-implied expected returns and stress-testing with the Residual Income Model, we discovered lots of value dispersion regionally and within the emerging world. Intrinsic risk is more skewed towards EM than DM.